PRIORAXIS publishes the design of its tests before it runs them, and publishes the results either way. This page exists so you do not have to take that on our word.
The design and findings of the phase-graded backtest of August 2026 are published here in full, each with a cryptographic timestamp that proves when it existed. The signed whitepaper they stand behind is published at prioraxis.com/whitepaper/.
The pre-registration — the complete design: the phase-boundary rule, the benchmarks, the fee treatment, and the exact list of sentences the test was allowed to earn, each with the condition it had to meet. Written and frozen before a single line of the test was run.
PA_PHASE-GRID-R1_PreRegistration_2026-08-14.md
The findings — what the test returned, graded against that list.
PA_PHASE-GRID-R1_Findings_2026-08-14.md
What the test found
Most of what it was allowed to claim, it did not earn. Of the sentences the design listed in advance, the parity claims failed: across the phases graded, the rule matched flat dollar-cost averaging in one, and never matched a benchmark built with perfect hindsight. One sentence about the rule buying continuously through a decline also failed, on a count of five weeks in December 2017 and January 2018 when the reading stood at Distribution and the rule deployed nothing.
Those sentences are not in the paper. The figures are, including the ones that went against us. That is what the pre-registration was for.
How to check it
Three steps, none of which involve trusting PRIORAXIS.
1 — the documents are what we say they are. Download either file and hash it:
shasum -a 256 PA_PHASE-GRID-R1_PreRegistration_2026-08-14.md
The result must match the digest printed above.
2 — the design existed before the result. Download the proof file beside each document and verify it:
ots verify PA_PHASE-GRID-R1_PreRegistration_2026-08-14.md.ots
OpenTimestamps anchors the document’s hash in the Bitcoin blockchain. The proof states the block that carries it and the time that block was mined. It is checkable with the open-source client and a Bitcoin node, and it does not ask you to trust us, a certificate authority, or a notary.
3 — the design was frozen before the run. The pre-registration says so in its own words, and its timestamp is what makes that checkable rather than asserted.
Pre-registration
PA_PHASE-GRID-R1_PreRegistration_2026-08-14.md
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